大咖福利影院

another forecast.... from FLA

Tropical storm strength by just a hair.... almost hurricane caliber

Sorry... won't accept my article

I have a problem with people who are not professionals representing the status of something as serious as a developing hurricane.聽 If you want professional guidance either the National Hurricane Center or The Weather Channel Hurricane Story are excellent sources of information on聽 the subject.

Just heard on the News that the national weather service prediction that SD will be getting 8-12 inches of rain on Sunday聽 and the storm will cross all of Dominican Republic after making a direct hit on PR

Snowinpalm. You are free to not read this!

The DR govt issued advisories.聽 The National Hurricane Center is an American organization full of great info whose emphasis is American.

If you don't like the way we are trying to warn others than that is your issue.

Locals have a pretty good sense for this weather, probably more accurate than the NHC.聽 It doesn't hurt to listen and then ere on the cautious side.

I can feel this one coming.聽 We are probably going to get something but this island is also very lucky.聽 Storms often change direction and we are spared.

Let's hope for the best and prepare for the worst.聽 聽I'm boarding up...

Snowinpalm鈥� that was a little harsh. What鈥檚 wrong with a little warning and a bit of sage advice鈥�

Just take it for what it is ..concern people relaying what they hear 鈥�..

Sadly the prevailing attitude here is that very few pay attention.聽 The more we can warn and help others prepare, the easier it will be after.

We have been quite lucky here on the south coast for quite a few years. I prepare for every storm and like Mine says - hope for the best!

I agree - it's always better to prepare for the worst and hope for the best, regardless of if it's a tropical storm or if it becomes a hurricane, whether it hits you directly, or if you're within a distance that can potentially still have strong affects. And, these storms can, and do, change direction/speed/strength, on a dime. On a different scale, but as a point of reference, look at what Andrew did here in Florida - people evacuated as they were asked to do, up in Broward County, and at the last minute the storm changed direction by a few degrees and absolutely devastated South Miami. They have a mind of their own!

Even if it does make landfall, regardless of the strength, in or near SD or La Romana, folks on the north/east side will definitely feel it and potentially, could get hit harder than SD or La Romana, because they will be on the "dirty side" of the storm. Heavy rain/flooding can be disastrous and especially for people living in the barrios. We've been through many storms here in South Florida and some TS's have caused more damage than hurricanes have. We even had a freak storm (not even a tropical depression or a TS) two years ago that caught everyone off guard and left us all stranded in our homes for 3 days because our streets/lawns looked like a lake. You can never been too careful.

@snowinpalm, I agree that it's best to watch/listen to the professionals at the National Hurricane Center but they also give generalized updates/warnings/watches and don't necessarily focus on particular neighborhoods until AFTER these storms hit. Letting others know around you is what everyone should be doing. Some people never watch the news and are clueless. You don't want anyone to panic but you do WANT your neighbors to take loose objects inside so that YOUR car/home/property isn't damaged if the winds pick up. So, it's a bit selfish but at the same time, you want everyone to be aware. Good for you, Planner, starting this thread. It's all about neighbors helping neighbors and looking out for one another. Be safe everyone!

Sorry for the ramble but we learned the hard way not to take even the smallest of storms for granted and never to let our guard down. It's much easier/cheaper to prepare than to deal with the aftermath if you didn't prepare and unexpectedly get hit!

The forecast is for 12 inches or more of rain

Remember that is over a 12-18 period (or more)鈥�hopefully,that eases the flood risk a bit as opposed to buckets full in 2-3 hours.

Fingers crossed

If you get your water , can goods batteries and candles聽 and maybe Dry Ice for the refrigerator 鈥�.this stuff doesn鈥檛 go bad so if it doesn鈥檛 hit bad聽 yo you have plenty of time to drink the water, eat the canned food and save the batteries and candles for next time

Things have changed a bit.聽 Hurricane warnings are up for Puerto Rico.聽 And hurricane watch east coast of DR.聽 The storm has slowed down and this morning shifted her track a bit south.聽

They are still expecting Fiona to turn north.聽 Her impact on DR depends on when she turns. We all should be aware and be preparing now!

Also moved a smidgen east....closer to the channel

Only good news is that the west side of it is the weaker side

MSN Forecast

We'll all be fine...time for a beer!

Pretty sure it won't for some!

My friend the expert says :

This is the official Warnings for the next couple days Path of Fiona from 8:00PM Saturday September 17th 2022.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* U.S. Virgin Islands

* South coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to

Cabo Caucedo

* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to

Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* U.S. Virgin Islands

* British Virgin Islands

* South coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to

Cabo Caucedo

* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to

Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* South coast of the Dominican Republic west of Cabo Caucedo to

Barahona

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was

located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 64.9 West. Fiona is

moving toward generally the west-northwest near 8 mph (15 km/h),

and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A

northwestward motion is forecast to begin on Sunday and continue

through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Fiona will

move south of the U.S. Virgin Islands this evening, approach Puerto

Rico tonight, and move across Puerto Rico by Sunday afternoon.

Fiona will then offshore of the Dominican Republic on Monday and

near or to the east of the Turks and Caicos Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher

gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Fiona is expected to become a

hurricane before reaching the southern coast of Puerto Rico on

Sunday. Additional strengthening is expected on Monday and Tuesday

while Fiona moves over the southwestern Atlantic.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)

from the center. A station at Teagues Bay, St. Croix, recently

reported a gust to 45 mph (72 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Reserve

Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Tropical Storm Fiona can be found in the Tropical

Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header

WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on Puerto Rico Sunday and

are possible in the U.S. Virgin Islands tonight. Hurricane

conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in the

Dominican Republic Sunday night and Monday.

Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the

Leeward Islands within the warning area through this evening.

Tropical storm conditions are beginning to reach the U.S. and

British Virgin Islands, and will spread westward across Puerto Rico

this evening and tonight and portions of the Dominican

Republic late Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible across

the watch area in the Dominican Republic Sunday night.

RAINFALL: Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall:

Leeward Islands and Northern Windward Islands: Additional 2 to 4

inches.

British and U.S. Virgin Islands: 4 to 6 inches with local maximum of

10 inches possible.

Puerto Rico: 12 to 16 inches with local maximum of 20 inches

possible, particularly across eastern and southern Puerto Rico.

Dominican Republic: 4 to 8 inches with local maximum of 12 inches

possible, particularly on the far eastern coast.

Haiti: 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum totals of 4 inches.

Turks and Caicos: 4 to 6 inches.

My take on this

Looks like all day Monday starting Sunday night

I have been watching and reading various weather reports but nowhere have I been able to read what the wind velocity is expected for the Santiago/Moca area. THere is some concern about damage to the walls of my under construction house as they haven't yet been tied into the rebar columns - even with the wall around the lot. Anyone hear anything? Thanks - all the input here is worth reading and considering - I have been away at work so missed reading the posts the past several days....I could have perhaps warned folks to brace the walls if they feared damage from wind

The wind is expected to reach up to 100 mph when over Puerto Rico and basically continue at 80-100 when towards Dominican Republic , very heavy rain for Sunday night into Monday all day 鈥�.. rain to continue in parts of the Dominican Republic for most of the week depending on the rain bands of the storm

Just a reminder鈥�. They can鈥檛 pump gas or petroleum ( gasoline) without electricity

just an idea to fill鈥� up tomorrow morning in case your area is prone to outage鈥檚, if it hits hard enough you might lose power for a few days

According to the weather map I have the first rain band to hit San Pedro by 7 -7:30 and Santo Domingo by 9:30 - 10 am

聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 Charge your phone鈥檚 , Tablets , Laptops

remember not to shoot the messenger鈥�.馃��

Looking at Puerto Rico radar you can see outer bands hitting the east coast of Dominican republic.聽 This storm is very slow moving!聽 So yes charge up everything!

2vp I read winds extend out 120 miles from the eye.聽 I am looking for the graphic and can't find it!聽 I will keep looking.

The slower it goes the more rain falls in an area 鈥� just hope it doesn鈥檛 stall 鈥�.

Exactly!聽 That can do massive amounts of damage!

Thinking of you all !!!

Hoping you all will be safe and sound !!!

Please check in with us to let us all know you guys are ok

Watching it on the TV in NY now聽 聽, no longer a tropical storm it鈥檚 considered a hurricane

聽 聽 聽 Their saying the storm 鈽旓笍 Is at the south shore of PR and already dropped 6 inch鈥檚 of rain but might drop 4 times that amount because the storm is only moving 10 mph and has sustained winds of 80 - 90 mph 鈥�. The model they showed on the TV looks like it could make a direct hit to the south shore of Dominican Republic聽 definitely going to hit the east coast 鈥� it鈥檚聽 bands have already hit puerto plata 鈥�.

Check this live beach cam out at Playa Bonita

[link under review]

not sure where the link is disappearing to ???

Sorry if such links are not allowed

Here is another link to a live web cam at El Paseo Shopping Centre, Las Terrenas

Hoping this link gets approved

Link seems to be working but camera is offline

I have seen some videos of bands hitting Punta Cana.聽 There are bands starting to hit further inland now as well as up the coast to Las terrenas.

In Santo Domingo we are now fully overcast with rains, windy at times and now thunder!

In PC we have some gusting winds at this moment but otherwise all good.

Cabo Frances Viejo & Pto Plata cited in it

I was able to post it

Here's a paragraph - North coast related - to the attached article

BUCKLE UP NORTH COAST !!

A hurricane warning -- indicating hurricane conditions are expected -- was issued for Puerto Rico, including the islands of Vieques and Culebra, and later expanded to include the eastern Dominican Republic from Cabo Caucedo to Cabo Frances Viejo. The Dominican Republic's northern coast, from Cabo Frances Viejo west to Puerto Plata, are under a hurricane watch Sunday morning, meaning hurricane conditions are possible in the next 48 hours.

Looking at the radar and satellite images, bands are reaching well into the DR.聽 We have had a couple hit us in Santo Domingo.

@planner

Hello, thanks for the information and reminder.

I鈥檓 in Sosua, back away from the beach and ocean, up in the hills. I鈥檓 not really worried about flooding here, but more concerned about when I go into the town for supplies; with that being said, I will stock up on a few things- water, juice, pasta, so I don鈥檛 need to go out, but I鈥檓 also in the middle of starting a mural project and that will certainly get delayed if things get messy here in terms of curtailing getting around transportation wise.聽

Well, good luck to all. Thank goodness I did not take the apartment off Alicia beach. I was partly thinking hurricane season is coming and it鈥檚 too touristy, a bad combo for nomadic life.

All be well and SAFE!

Stay well, be safe.

@planner I agree with you. People are trying to be helpful鈥�.

this is a good one

From morning radar Fiona seems stalled out and barely moving. She is expected to stay over the DR into tonight.

Heavy rains in many parts of the country all day today and into tonight.聽 Puerto Rico continues to have heavy rains.聽

As more info becomes available we will update.聽 Videos out of Puerto Rico from yesterday are unbelievable, those poor people!聽