Ecuador & the US Dollar
What is life going to be like in聽 Ecuador, in the event the US dollar crashes...
Can anyone give me any kind of projection here...
I was reading somewhere on the net, that it was not advisable to live in Dollarized country's ...
Your thought's please..
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Now, trying to be serious, the ecuadorian government is working with another kind of currency for his commercial trade with Venezuela and Bolivia. Some people think some day this three countries will change their currencies for this one if they get other south american countries in the system.
Will see.
Vinny
Mike
wrote:In the mean time it would be wise to convert as many paper dollars as you feel comfortable into gold and silver coins.
Owning physical gold and silver usually results in the loss of money unless you are a jeweler or trader.聽 It costs money to buy precious metals and it costs money to store it, either in a safety deposit box or by having to purchase a safe.聽 It can also put you and your family at risk, should the wrong people find out you have large sums of money in your house.聽 Most personal financial advisers advise against owning significant amounts physical gold and silver for the average person.聽
Should the dollar collapse, then other currencies will also loose value, and thus gold and silver will not maintain its current value.
If doomsday-coming-soon is the mindset, it would be more wise to invest in stock piles of food, water, and protection.聽 At least these still have value when currency is removed.
"Should the dollar collapse, then other currencies will also loose value, and thus gold and silver will not maintain its current value." Sorry, history shows just the opposite. Every single time. What are you reading ?
I would be less concerned about the value of the USD than the impact the USD is having on life in Ecuador. Ecuador is running out of USD as there are more USD's leaving the country than entering. This is due to declining business investment, reduced remittances from Ecuadorians living in USA and Spain, relatively low price of oil, reduced exports (banana and flowers) and Ecuadorians moving USD out of the country. This problem is compounded by an inability to borrow more USD due to the prior default. As a result of this problem:
-the government now imposes a 5% tax on sending USD out of the country and recently imposed requirements to register funds with the central bank.
-import tax rates continue to increase. The cost of cars and higher quality imported products will continue to escalate.
-money laundering and drug trafficking is flourishing. While the government might not condone, it reluctantly accepts as it brings USD into the country.聽
-the government can't sign a TLC as it would result in a net drain of USD out of the country.
How will this effect those living in Ecuador in the next five to ten years?
-drug violence and related crime will escalate.
-import taxes will continue to increase limiting purchasing options and increasing inflation.
-economy will stagnate due to limited investment, businesses moving to Colombia and Peru, and lack of trade agreements with North America and Europe.
-quality of locally produced products will deteriorate due to diminishing of import competition.
-unless the world wide price of oil increases dramatically, Ecuador will eventually be forced to exit the USD and implement a local currency.
How can expats protect themselves?
-rent don't buy. Bringing money into Ecuador to buy a residence will cost 5% to send it back out when you sell.
-limit deposits in local Ecuador banks.
-maximize flexibility to leave if economic or security situation dictates. Rent housing and limit local investments.
jlconst wrote:Do you remember the photo/caption of the argentinian crying..."I should have bought gold" ?
afair that was Brazilian...
jlconst wrote:And like I said, buy silver and gold. The ONLY proven protection thruout the history of man....This is why I brought the subject up in the first place. Any country tied to the dollar will be hurt.....BTW...silver is up 20% in the last week. Silver is money. Paper dollars are backed by nothing but debt and will be perceived as near worthless in the future.
I am unsure how you reach that conclusion from my posting. I trust you are a commodities dealer. Historically, commodities including gold and silver, are poor investments vs other options.
Buying commodities will not protect expats from political, economic or security risks in Ecuador. Also, any reasonable investment adviser will warn if you insist on investing in commodities to limit to no more then 2-3% of net worth. I would not recommend them to the typical expat residing in Ecuador.

PS: having question of what is tuchonka:
jlconst wrote:Gold and silver are NOT commodities. They are money. And if you believe anything "financial advisers" tell you then you deserve what you get..... Like invest for the long run....it's a buyers market....yada, yada, yada....They're salesman who haven't a clue about the real markets......factoring in inflation if you invested 25 yrs ago you're still even..... Ten yr bull market in gold and they're still telling you to stay away....while all the central banks and the world richest are buying. Who's the fool and who will be left empty handed when the banks implode.....[ ]
Again, I do not understand why this conversation continues to revert to the relative value of investing in gold and silver. My posting related to the impact on Ecuador having its currency denominated in USD.
I have no problem investing in gold, silver or commodities or real estate or bonds or pork bellies or art or anything else that might increase in value. When asked by family members for investment advice I consistently recommend 1. subscribe to Money magazine to educate yourself to make intelligent financial decisions and 2. diversify your investments.
From my perspective, gold and silver can be a modest part of a diversified portfolio. If a significant part of a portfolio, your time horizon has to be sufficiently long enough to recoup periodic downturns and be prepared to have sleepless nights.

In case on global armagedon just get some canned food, medicines, bateries and a water purifier. Ans some ones extra for trade.
Vinny
jlconst wrote:The fact that you rely on Money Magazine pretty much tell it all about not knowing what you are talking about. The whole world is in printing press overdrive, all currencies are going down, and the whole world is in a debt spiral down. If holding 1-3% in a "hard" currency makes you sleep better that's good.Sounds to me you hold NO gold, which is almost always the case when I argue with you guys. My post started with just wanting to encourage others to protect themselves financially....Make sure you re-post off and on during the next few months and yrs. I'll look forward to your next post that has no relevance to facts or history.
JLCONST, lets end this with agreeing we disagree without being disagreeable.聽 聽
I wish you luck with your investment decisions.
Thanks much!
Tes

Thank you,
础耻谤茅濒颈别
Pica1 wrote:Hi all - I'd like to revisit and expand this question.聽 My husband refuses to consider Ecuador on our list because he doesnt like their government. My question to you (please, only those folks who have or are living there) is: As an expat, have you found government policies to be a problem for you? Some issues: property ownership, taxes, law, etc. I don't want to start political arguments...just want to explore the real-life day-to-day problems (or not) for expats (particularly American expats) with the Ecuadorean government.
Thanks much!
Tes
Tes, as an American married to an Ecuadorian and residing in Quito since 2005, I strongly suggest your husband reconsider Ecuador. While residents love to complain about politics, in reality their efforts have little if any impact on local quality of life issues such as cost of living, security and acceptance of expats.
It is possible to refuse to participate. One must live for today and let ma帽ana take care of itself. Ecuador allows and facilitates this mindset. It is not a Chicken Little society.
Thanks for all your participation.聽 Just letting you know that since the only place I am even considering in Ecuador is in or around Cuenca, I will be doing as Aurelie suggests and continuing on the Cuenca Forum.聽 This will allow this string to remain focused on its current title.聽 I also have some concern that there appear to be many postings about Ecuador from people who do not appear to be living here.聽 I have some concerns about this as it may cause this forum to revert to the same general angst as online news sites.聽 I alo pledge to ask, if appropriate, for input just from those who live or have lived there.聽 OK?聽 Thanks again....and all the best.
or in any other country if their currency crashes!
And if anyone has a crystal ball that can predict such crashes, they are sitting on a gold mine.
Most of us who follow currency evolutions short- or medium-term keep our feet firmly on the ground, and prefer not to make rash predictions such as the one you heard!!!
In the meantime the dollar is a currency of reference, and yes it fluctuates somewhat.........but it usually is considered one of the strong attractions for moving to live in Ecuador!
Stay positive........
Kurt......
Just drink more beer and be happy eh.
聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽 聽Saludos Brian
Pica1 wrote:Thanks fdmcg.聽 I suspect as much.聽 The blogosphere is so full of everybody's angry comments, often from people who haven't even been to the place they're criticizing.聽 That's why 大咖福利影院s like this are so important. That, and, of course, visiting first if you can.
I have lived in Ecuador since 2006.聽 I live in Cuenca since 2011. Govt interference in my daily life has been limited to encounters with the bureaucracy for visa and driver's license.聽 In fact in Cuenca the Govt has opened a visa office and staffed it with English speaking personnel.聽 If the visa is straight forward there is no need to get an attorney.聽 Retirees 65+ yoa are treated very well.聽 We have all the benefits that Ecuadorian nationals do like half price on airline tickets, special window at banks, reimbursement of sales tax...
Foreigners are not singled out in any way by the police or any other govt institution. While the Govt of Ecuador and the US do have differences, this does not translate into harassment of US citizens.
Come down and visit.聽 See for yourselves.
Mike
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