大咖福利影院

georgeingozo wrote:

Australia sells raw materials to China - the UK doesn't have any

Other than ;

Oil and natural gas.

Coal

Iron Ore.

Limestone.

Small amounts of lead, tin and gold.

Salt

ricky wrote:

Catalonia just voted against leaving the EU. It is to be seen what happens in the UK .

Where did you read/hear that? I do not believe that happened. And indeed I lived in Catalonia for some years and I do not think that Catalans are eurosceptic at all. I think you are confused with Catalonia voting to leave Spain which has not official happened yet either.

Ozchook wrote:

It also has some of the most expensive real estate in the world and currently the cost of living is higher than the U.K.聽 Let's be a bit more realistic here!
See ya, Ozchook

where ?
did you mean to reply to another topic ?

Jasminej wrote:

I'm trying to get a better understanding of what this vote will mean.聽 I am a US citizen and my husband is UK. We will be arriving in Malta in August.聽 If the vote is for leaving the EU, how likely is it that we would have to leave Malta?

I wouldn't worry too much, firstly all persons legally resident will retain that right to residency (you are gonna have to trust me on that one)

secondly a vote to leave the EU triggers an article in the Lisbon treaty which means that a 2 year negotiation process begins. (those who arrive in UK or UK arriving abroad DURING that 2 year period MAY be treated differently depending on those negotiations)

you will be here before the referendum is actually held

you will be here as the spouse of an EU citizen

finally the POLL data in the UK is pretty much evenly split on leaving/staying (no account taken of expat proxy/postal votes) however when asked about any reform of the EU the poll data is 75% to stay. Don't forget UKIP only got 12% of the vote this month.

the other things that have a bearing are who leads either side of the campaign and how popular they may be at the time. the "split" in UKIP was precisely because some supporters of the campaign to leave do NOT want Farage leading the campaign. he is loathed and loved in equal measure lol

all good

tearnet wrote:

Interesting article in the DM today..........



Supports what I have always said that you can separate Trade from聽 the political side.

Terry

its ok tomorrow's headline will be being in Europe is carcinogenic - then next week not being in Europe will be bad for your health

robpw2 wrote:

tearnet wrote:

Interesting article in the DM today..........



Supports what I have always said that you can separate Trade from聽 the political side.

Terry

its ok tomorrow's headline will be being in Europe is carcinogenic - then next week not being in Europe will be bad for your health

ha and don't forget to stay out of the sun but not get rickets lol

Jasminej wrote:

Thanks.聽 I don't really follow UK news/politics but I guess I need to start!

as if to prove my point, in todays Sunday Times, as part of an article, current polling is 51% to stay in EU 39% to leave EU, that is without expat votes and the undecided not "redistributed" to the 2 options. Also that is without any reform and it is also worth noting that the Murdoch press is beginning to lean towards staying in the EU.

as for "following" why bother, you have me on here lol

On An Island wrote:

I just checked the odds on the result of the referendum, I've never met a poor bookie, they very rarely get it wrong. It's a hell of a lot closer than I thought it was going top be.



When the Scottish referendum started it was an absolute odds-on certainty to be a No vote, but it got pretty close in the end, squeeky bum time. So who knows where public opinion will go between now and the vote. But Farage and his buddies have got a lot less ground to make up than the SNP had, which is a bit worrying.

the yes vote in the Scottish referendum increased its numbers as it gathered momentum, however the very early polls said 54% would vote no and that held fairly steady and in the actual vote 54% voted no. in other words the committed don't waver it was the undecided that increased the yes vote.

odds on favourite in a 2 horse race? hmm I would stick 拢10 on the outsider if I was still a gambler, and lose lol

georgeingozo wrote:

I agree "unlikely" but not certain - all depends how nasty the "divorce" would be

Even that lovely nice man Farage said he didn't want to kick out legally resident EU citizens, presumably that is the ones that don't have HIV of course )